Tories Fall Below 40% Mark, as UKIP and BNP Improve

[LONDON – Nov. 6, 2009] – The opposition Conservative Party remains ahead of its rivals in Britain, but has lost ground over the past couple of weeks as support has shifted to two minor parties, a new Angus Reid Strategies poll conducted in cooperation with PoliticalBetting.com has found.

Voting Intention

Across Great Britain, 38 per cent of decided voters and leaners (-2 since mid-October) would cast a ballot for the Conservative candidate in their constituency if a General Election were held tomorrow.

The governing Labour Party remains in second place with 24 per cent (+1), followed by the Liberal Democrats with 20 per cent (unchanged).

The United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) is fourth with six per cent (+1), followed by the British National Party (BNP) at four per cent (+1).

Regional Breakdowns

The Conservatives hold the highest level of support in the South of England, where Labour is a distant third behind the Lib-Dems. In Scotland, Labour is ahead of the Scottish National Party (SNP) by five points (32% to 27%).

Other Demographics

The Tories are holding a 12-point lead over Labour among male voters, and a 16-point advantage among female voters. The opposition party remains way ahead among voters aged 55 and over (45%). Labour is now edging the Lib-Dems among voters aged 18 to 34, but the Tories have the largest share of the vote across all age groups.

Full tables can be downloaded here:
http://www.angusreidstrategies.com/uploads/pages/pdfs/2009.11.06_UK_Tables.pdf

Full methodology statement can be downloaded here:
http://www.angusreidstrategies.com/uploads/pages/pdfs/2009.11.06_UK_Method.pdf

CONTACT:
Andy Morris, Research Director, London, + 44-203-178-3952, andy.morris@angus-reid.com  

Full Report, Detailed Tables and Methodology (PDF)